Ali Anani

منذ 7 سنوات · 2 دقائق وقت القراءة · ~10 ·

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The Complexity of Choices

The Complexity of Choices

Happiness Disposable Income Goverment Revenue Rate | percent) 1

Where we stand has an important role in affecting our future. If we nudge a ball on a flat surface we may predict its next position. However; if we apply the same nudge on a ball standing on a peak with a rough surface who would predict its next position?

f7e087e6.jpg

Human behavior is more like a ball standing on a peak. One example is the happiness- disposable income curve. I approximate it in the following image. A peaked-shape curve is also applicable to the Laffer Curve. This curve shows the effect of government's increase of taxes. As taxes exceed the peak people would tend to favor not working. They may not wish to work just to pay more taxes. Other people may opt to work more to keep their standard of living. Taxes create a tension between the two options: seeking pleasure of not working versus working harder to keep the standard of living. A little nudge of increasing taxes may send people in two different directions. This bifurcation may lead to an increased complexity of taxes and thus reducing the predictability of the outcome of increasing taxes.

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The Laffer curve or the disposable income - happiness curve show the complexity of human behavior. A small movement may create new alternatives and a tension on which alternative to follow. I may extend this logic to say that the logistic map is exemplary as well of human behaviors. A logistic map shows the carrying capacity of a system such as the carrying capacity of limited lands to feed an expanding population. Here we notice the formation of many "tension points" as we change the rate of the population growth. I indicated some intension points by placing balls on them. As we increase the tension of having more choices or alternatives, the more likely we move towards chaos.

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It is the emerging choices that make things more complex. Increase the rate of population growth or the tax rate (r) shall eventually create the first tension. A tension gives birth to new tensions and the system increasingly may lose its "Tension-holding capacity".

We may choose to increase happiness, taxes, population or whatever. However; we must watch out for the emergence of new tensions that may have a rippling effect of producing more tensions and more instability of the system. For every action there is a reaction. I would also add that for every action there is the possibility of creating a new choice and at one point choices will be placed on a rugged path towards a peak. Once the system stays on this peak it is a new game in play.


I dedicate this buzz to CityVP Manjit. I have one choice here to admire your mind and appreciation of others.


""""
#Laffer #CityVP #Complexity #Choices #Laffer Curve
التعليقات

Ali Anani

منذ 7 سنوات #25

#39
We are then on the same wavelength Deb \ud83d\udc1d Helfrich

Ali Anani

منذ 7 سنوات #24

#37
Deb \ud83d\udc1d Helfrich about time. I mentioned in my comment that we have much less time to choose from a widening range of choices such as products. Tis leads to loss of focus and having less pause time to make choices wisely. Now, you even increase this tension by mentioning "In any big box store 80%+ will have dire warnings about swallowing for a product solely intended to be used in our mouth!?!? Where shall all build up of tension shall lead us? Time to pause and think and even if we don't have the time we should make it.

Ali Anani

منذ 7 سنوات #23

#34
Again, this is a very relevant point, Jared Wiese (sez he adds VALUE & RESULTS). I wonder if taxes were increased gradually in small doses would have ended differently. Unfortunately, decision-makers tend to prefer reactions and changes in noticeable percentages. That might yield to more disruption than ever imagined.

Ali Anani

منذ 7 سنوات #22

#31
Thank you the emerging star Tausif Mundrawala

Ali Anani

منذ 7 سنوات #21

#30
Great comment, dear Jared Wiese (sez he adds VALUE & RESULTS). I watched the first link- a 10 minutes video about motivation. THis is a timely video and adds support for this buzz. Monetary motivations work as expected, but suddenly they work in the opposite direction by lowering productivity. Human, human behavior is strange. Will check the other link today. I am full of gratitude to your comment, Jared

Ali Anani

منذ 7 سنوات #20

#26
This is brilliance

Ali Anani

منذ 7 سنوات #19

#24
I am honest with people and I try to be as clear as possible. I have just commented one of your old buzzes on wisdom and understanding and I found the buzz quite an enjoyable read. Honestly, writing in simplicity reaches the heart faster. In your comments here and your mentioned buzz both "entered" my heart for the same reason. Great thinking expressed in simple words. This formula brings BOTH understanding and wisdom. You did it.

Ali Anani

منذ 7 سنوات #18

#21
Part 2/ I am so pleased with this comment because it explained a new tension for me- the tension between being egoist and thinking of others. The idea that we move in waves reflects the flow of your comment

Ali Anani

منذ 7 سنوات #17

#21
Dear - this time your comment is s clear, transparent, explanatory and truly deep. I agree with you on all fronts. You wrote "Their ups are small and their valley is low. To truly improve tings for all one must think of all as one makes ones choices and think about the impact to the sum.

Ali Anani

منذ 7 سنوات #16

#18
You are the "King of Commenters" dear Steve Brady. Your sharing of the toothpaste story makes your readers live the experience of the tension we may have when we have too many choices to make with no real differentiation factor. I am so please that you highlighted the idea of tension holding-capacity as this is a key point in the buzz. Your writing "I am fascinated by your extension of the Laffer curve as a metaphor applied to human behaviour and tension-holding-capacity." simply made me very happy. I am truly grateful to you and your good words.

Ali Anani

منذ 7 سنوات #15

#17
Beautiful and deep comment that you wrote dear Mohammed Sultan. You expanded on the issue of the tension of choices and their compromise. I do have few ideas percolating in my mind to expand on your comment. I am truly grateful to you my friend.

Ali Anani

منذ 7 سنوات #14

I am grateful to both friends Milos Djukic for also sharing this buzz. This is a special sharing for me and I am full of gratitudes for all friends who shared it.

Ali Anani

منذ 7 سنوات #13

#12
What to say dear Sara Jacobovici- you raised the focal points and added meaning to them. Yes, and your observation " Humans react not just in relation to a stimulus, but to the meaning of that stimulus,..." is a valuable one. You to toll the bells my friend.

Ali Anani

منذ 7 سنوات #12

#11
Dear Sara Jacobovici- believe me you never stop admiring you whenever you comment. Not only your comprehension of the buzz is deep, but also you add a great idea " From my perspective, the smooth surface does not provide the one who nudges more control. Sometimes, as the surface is smooth, the ball can "get away from us". I agree and you really bring a point into the focus that elapse the attention of many thinkers. I am so happy this buzz is of a standard to invite for such a great comment.

Ali Anani

منذ 7 سنوات #11

#10
Dear friend CityVP \ud83d\udc1d Manjit- Your eloquent comment touches my heart. I avoid giving political examples, but I adore your courage and truthfulness. Reading your recent comment and buzzes I expected you to give the American example and the chaos expected if we have a "grown child" rule. "In Trump's right hand man - Steve Bannon, chaos may be a deliberate strategy and we spend less time trying to understand the creation of chaos and more time discussing its painful effects"....you toll the bells my friend.

Sara Jacobovici

منذ 7 سنوات #10

Part Two: As you say Ali Anani, the complexities of choices increase with the number of options. An animal or other life form chooses according to a very limited focus or "wiring". Humans react not just in relation to a stimulus, but to the meaning of that stimulus, to the feelings attached to that stimulus, to the subjective needs embedded in that stimulus. We see this human dynamic being exploited in marketing. The momentum of complexities found in choices is perfectly articulated when you write, "I would also add that for every action there is the possibility of creating a new choice." Thank you, as always, Dr. Ali for the learning opportunity. .

Sara Jacobovici

منذ 7 سنوات #9

Part One: I haven't stopped thinking of one of your buzzes and a new one appears. All the power to you Ali Anani for being able to communicate the complexities of human behaviour in a way that can be appreciated as an opportunity for learning and growth. Choices, as you mentioned, is something I am deeply interested in integrating into my work, whether clinical or business, because, after all, as you portray, it all comes from the same source. The thoughts your buzz has provoked in me Dr. Ali, include the following. Tension is a great addition to the factors that influence choice. Tension, however either moves towards resolution or not. And I say moves in relation to the ball being nudged on the two different surfaces; one with tension and one without. In partnership with tension is control. From my perspective, the smooth surface does not provide the one who nudges more control. Sometimes, as the surface is smooth, the ball can "get away from us". On both surfaces, at any time, the balls can get "stuck"; either the smooth surface slows the ball's speed and brings it to a stop, or the more rugged surface has an obstacle preventing the ball from moving. We can't know from the first nudge if the ball will get to its destination or whether the tension will be resolved. Interventions need to take place at every step or movement along the way,' either through projecting, assessing or redirecting.

CityVP Manjit

منذ 7 سنوات #8

I appreciate the acknowledgement dear Ali Anani and I in turn dedicate your buzz to the Founding Fathers of America. They too are an example of emergence and very much relate to the tension created by the act of raising taxes. In their story we find the Laffer Curve and the modern predicament of evaluating just when the system will descend into chaos, that tipping point for the children of the Founding Fathers to consider today - especially now that there is a grown child in the seat of great power. My belief is that the constitution that these Founding Fathers of America devised is anti-fragile and that even in the presence of strategic dictatorship and the raising of border taxes will in themselves will not only test this constitution but survival of a constitutional crisis is the ultimate respect we should give to the Constitution of the United States. In Trump's right hand man - Steve Bannon, chaos may be a deliberate strategy and we spend less time trying to understand the creation of chaos and more time discussing its painful effects. No fear - if America does not survive it, and that means that the tipping point of constitutional crisis is a big bang, it simply means that there will no longer be States united, but countries change borders in an organic way anyway. What I don't want to end up doing is get my mind strung up in this chaos, so it becomes an instructive lesson to draw from. This is how I will get stronger from the presence of uncertainty and that is the hardest part of any learning journey - because tipping point or no tipping point - life is one part big bang, one part new beginnings - and this is a new beginning.

Ali Anani

منذ 7 سنوات #7

#8
This response of yours dear Harvey Lloyd shall stay with me for a long time. Choices as expressed in fractal if, else, then expands my horizon and lead to a chain of events. Yes, our values shall be the attractor to stay on course no matter how much the path is rugged. At least we have the opportunity to learn this way.

Harvey Lloyd

منذ 7 سنوات #6

If, Then, Else. Choices and their complexity are the creators of the fractals we seem to find in all of life. We can't know the future of of the fractal, but we can know that we are creating fractal math with each choice. The complexity will always be there. The question comes down to, how will you meet the complexity not if it will happen. IMHO i think if our values of service remain true, If, Then, Else will lead in the direction we need to go. The bumps on the hill as you displayed will be there, ultimately the ball will get down the hill where you guided. The If, Then, Else statement will only beget the next one. The complexity comes when we get hung on the else statement. We need only establish the next if statement but we get hung up on the success and failure of the original "If". If you are writing a history book or case study this is your charge. But if you are leading, growing or seeking new challenges, then just write the next if statement. Let the tellers of history do their thing. You are creating a future. Embrace complexity with a new If, Then, Else statement. Thank you for the view of a beautiful vista of discovery Ali Anani.

Ali Anani

منذ 7 سنوات #5

#6
In complexity systems, emergence isn't influenced by external factors. Same applies for self-organizing teams dear debasish majumder

Ali Anani

منذ 7 سنوات #4

#4
It is the emerging new choices or alternatives that matter here dear debasish majumder. By emerging I mean that can't be predicted. No matter what humans actions as is explained in the buzz may create choices that were not intended. I thank you for your comment provided me with the opportunity to explain more. I invite both dear doctors Milos Djukic- she wrote a lot of comprehensive buzzes on choices and her feedback would be greatly appreciated.

Ali Anani

منذ 7 سنوات #3

I wish to thank Javier \ud83d\udc1d beBee for sharing this buzz with his followers. Sharing of this buzz is of great value to me. .

Ali Anani

منذ 7 سنوات #2

#1
I do appreciate your feedback Pascal Derrien. This is a complex issue that needs simplicity in words and visuals. That the visuals are clear fill me with satisfaction.

Pascal Derrien

منذ 7 سنوات #1

Great article well complemented by a brilliant visual ☺

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